Friday, 3 October 2008

What we're left with

Ok watched ANTM episode 6, Clark didn't deserve to leave with this photo (don't understand why the judges hated it so much - it wasn't great but not disgusting!) but Clark just hasn't had enough good shots to keep her in. She's had one good shot and one fantastic shot but all the rest are average or below. Anyway before I get any further into becoming biased on who I like I just wanted to give my prediction of the winners etc after watching this episode.

Ok lets start with this weeks Top (which has been changing every week) Samantha. Personally I thought her shot was good, love the body and stuff her face was lighly dull but the photo fitted the theme perfectly. I personally don't think she'll win though - however I have had a change of heart with thinking she's definitely going to go soon - instead now I think there's a possibility but not sure. However her runway is a disaster so it's near impossible that she would win!
Analeigh's shot was good but when you start thinking of who may win she just never appears on my list! She has a great personality - my favourite contestant currently - has solid photos but she just doesn't seem to be capable of winning. A winner normally has that attitude and personality that Tyra wants but Analeigh just seems too tamed.
McKey is rounding up to be the runner up of this cycle. She seems controlled and modellesque and is doing great in call outs (the top shot elluding though). I think she's the perfect runner up because runner ups always do well but 1. seem to loose their spark in Tyra's eyes for the Cover Girl shoot and 2. seem to lack the personality. All in all it seems McKey is headed for 2nd place.
Elina's photo was Ok, I liked it but I could find a lot of improvements that need to be made. Also the more I think about it the more it seems Elina is losing that immortality she had at the beginning of the show. It's difficult this year as nobody has shown up to be a "bitchy" personality yet!
Marjorie's photo was not to my taste but it's so obvious Marjorie won't make the final 2. She doesn't have the confidence that will make Tyra choose her. I think she is likely going to loose out because the judges think she lacks confidence.
Lauren Brie's photo was average, whilst Lauren Brie seems to have fallen from her podium, it probably meas Tyra will eliminate her for not bringing anything new or for relying on "pretty".
Sheena had a great pose but her face was off. However I think she has the capability of making it to the final 2, unless she doesn't move to the top half of the pack by next week (we've had the low callout winner Whitney already - 5 season anniversary from Nicole). I think she'll do a Naima in the judges eyes. She'll do well in the final few shoots and if she gets to the final runway I think she'll be the star of he two finalists.
Joslyn is slowly falling down. I think it would be unlikely that she goes out before Top 5 because it means no black girls (not being racist but Tyra does need her pick of them). However I also don't think we're going to see an Analeigh-esque revival by her, I think she's lost her edge and now she's suffering.
Let's look back at previous results.
Winners
Adrianne, Yoanna, Eva, Naima, Nicole, Danielle, Caridee, Jaslene, Saleisha, Whitney

Runner Up
Shannon, Mercedes, Yaya, Kahlen, Nik, Joanie, Melrose, Natasha, Chantal, Anya

3rd
Elyse, Shandi, Amanda, Keenyah, Bre, Jade, Eugena, Renee, Jenah, Fatima

Ok I'm not going to 4th because it will get to complicated. But here we can see that 3,6,9 have all been won by African Americans (Naima being mixed) Then we have (1)2,4,8 being of mixed or latina heritage(not sure about Adrianne). 5,7,10 were won by people with American (maybe some European) heritage. Can you see that each winner has varying looks, stats etc than their predecessors. Therefore I highly doubt Samantha, Lauren Brie or Analeigh are potential winners. That leaves us with Elina, Joslyn, Marjorie, McKey and Sheena. It is most likely not a black girl so Joslyn is out. It is unlikely going to be Marjorie so my predictions for winner go to McKey, Elina or Sheena - Sheena because she's the first Asian to win, McKey because she looks nothing like Whitney and the judges seem to love her (remembering tha the Jays said the winner was obvious) and Elina because she can look very exotic.

For 2nd
Besides Natasha and maybe Shannon most 2nd's were strong contestants with the public and the judges so I think McKey is very likely a 2nd considering. Most had a problem the judges deemed impossible for them to win. Anya for her Russianness (judges still don't want a Russian winner so Elina has no chance) and her personality, Chantal for tripping someone over! Natasha for her Russianness! Melrose for her personality, Joanie for her personality, Nik for her personality, Kahlen for her personality!, Yaya for her personality! Basically runners up have a personality fault in the eyes of Tyra. So the two underlying symptoms of runner up fever is normally being a strong contender but losing on the personality - therefore McKey seems to fit perfectly.
I think I've ranted on for a bit too long but just to add on from what I've read and photos I've seen (yep we've all seen them) I think McKey, Sheena and Samantha may have made the final 3. It's near imposible for Marjorie, McKey or Samantha not to have made it as they all look to be on go sees or commercials in another country. If it truly is only 5 that make it to Amsterdam then I would guess Sheena also makes it. Firstl because Analeigh and Lauren Brie have no mention n possible finalists whatsoever. Whilst it seems to be Joslyn and Clark were trying to hide the other girls from being seen in the other photos. Whilst Elina has been an odd duckling and maybe she makes the final 5. It's difficult but one thing I really have a lot of confidence on is McKey getting to the final 3!

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